2025 CUSA HITS AND MISSES

Sometimes it is not just the best teams that play in the title game. Who you play and where you play them can sometimes determine teams with the best record.

Today we look at Conference CUSA. CUSA plays an 8-game schedule so all teams have 4 home and 4 away games so there is no advantage there.

The next category to look at is conference records from last year. This year two new teams were added to the league in Delaware and Missouri St. Both teams had winning records last year but neither team defeated an FBS team. I decided to put each team with two conference wins just like Kennesaw St which joined the league last year. This has uneven records with the teams’ foes combining for a 352-416 record. It should be a 64 deficit at 2-6 is -4 wins times 8 games time 2 teams would be 64. Therefore, the math matches.

Now using Delaware, and Missouri St each at 2-6 the team that faces the toughest schedule is Delaware as they face teams that were 36-28 56% last year while the next closest is FIU at 32-32 50%. The easiest schedule goes to Liberty at 25-39 39%.

The above category has some flaws. For example, both Sam Houston and Jax St had great records last year at 6-2 and 7-1. Both teams are practically brand new this year losing the majority of their starters and have new head coaches. Also, Liberty last year was 5-3 so you would get credit for playing a middle of the pack team this year but Liberty was a couple of plays away from playing in the title game and do look like the top team in the league this year.

I have the chart color coded. Now, you may disagree with my ratings, but these are my Power Poll numbers which consider all nine sets of my power ratings . I have put the teams in three colors.

The top level of teams are the powers. I list those teams in RED for you do not want to play them. That top level category in no particular order is Liberty, WKU and Louisiana Tech.

The next level is in Blue and they are teams that look like bowl teams or bowl caliber teams for this year.

The bottom level is Green for teams that you want to draw. In my preliminary rankings right now the bottom 3 teams in the CUSA are Kennesaw St, Delaware and Missouri St and those teams are in Green.  

Delaware draws the toughest schedule facing all of the top 3 teams and have zero GREEN opponents. Missouri St and New Mexico St also face all 3 of the top teams. Liberty faces just one of the top 3 teams (can’t play themselves) and draw all 3 of the bottom teams and Middle Tenn St draws the same type of schedule.

Here is the chart and here is how I grade this year’s CONFERENCE schedules, keep in mind non-conference games are not included in this strength of schedule.

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