When I worked for ESPN full time, I put out a weekly article entitled the Vegas Power Ratings. I still have all the sources that I used to produce that article as it featured my plus/minus ratings which closely resemble Vegas’s numbers as well as three different casinos including the fine folks over at the Westgate Las Vegas Sportsbook @SuperBookSports.
Now that all the teams will be kicking off shortly and many games have been played, I will post these numbers weekly. This is not the AP poll but gives you an idea of how much teams would be favored over another team if they met on a neutral field. I use these to get an idea of lines on upcoming games. Keep in mind just because a team beat someone last week does not mean they would be favored over them in the Vegas ratings. A couple of examples. Kansas St is 4-1 and beat Oklahoma outright and the Sooners are 3-2. The Sooners were -27’ in that game and these Vegas ratings say the Sooners would be -18 in a rematch at home this week. Two weeks ago Florida St beat North Carolina as a two TD dog. I pointed out that North Carolina would have been a 9 point favorite last week and now would be favored by 13 at Florida St. Oklahoma St is the only undefeated team in the Big 12 and #6 in the current AP poll but is just #16 in the Vegas Poll. Coastal Carolina is undefeated and has been impressive and deserves to be in the AP Top 25 (#20 this week) but they are just #65 in the Vegas power ratings.
Here is this year’s third edition of my 2020 Vegas Power Rankings.