When I worked for ESPN full time, I put out a weekly article entitled the Vegas Power Ratings. I still have all the sources that I used to produce that article as it featured my plus/minus ratings which closely resemble Vegas’s numbers as well as three different casinos including the fine folks over at the Westgate Las Vegas Sportsbook @SuperBookSports.
Now that all the teams will be kicking off shortly and many games have been played, I will post these numbers weekly. This is not the AP poll but gives you an idea of how much teams would be favored over another team if they met on a neutral field. I use these to get an idea of lines on upcoming games. Keep in mind just because a team beat someone last week does not mean they would be favored over them in the Vegas ratings. A couple of examples. Kansas St is 4-2 and beat Oklahoma outright and the Sooners are 4-2. The Sooners were -27’ in that game and these Vegas ratings say the Sooners would be -21 in a rematch at home this week. Three weeks ago Florida St beat North Carolina as a two TD dog. North Carolina would be a 15 point favorite in a rematch. Last week I pointed out that Oklahoma St was the only undefeated team in the Big 12 and #6 in the AP poll but was just #16 in the Vegas Poll and the Cowboys undefeated season ended. Coastal Carolina is undefeated and has been impressive and deserves to be in the AP Top 25 (#15 this week) but they are just #58 in the Vegas power ratings. Penn St is 0-2 and has fallen out of the AP rankings but they are still #8 in the Vegas Power ratings.
Here is this year’s fourth edition of my 2020 Vegas Power Rankings.