Turnovers can have a big impact on games and on a team’s season. They can also lead to many misleading final scores. Every year in my College Football Preview, I write an article entitled “Turnovers = Turnaround,” and it describes how teams that have good fortune one year (plus double-digit turnovers) usually have a weaker […]
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NFL Slipping and Sliding
In my College Preview Magazine each year I devise many different formulas which look at teams that had good or bad fortune the previous year. The charts usually show those teams which had the good fortune generally do not have the same results the following season. I call this method “Slipping and Sliding.” As I […]
NFL Finding Value in YPG
If you’ve been reading my College Preview Magazine, you know that every year I look for teams that are much better than their final record would indicate, or those that are much weaker than the final standings would indicate based on the yards per game earned in league play. I only base statistics on league […]
NFL Close Wins/ Close Losses
Much like a stock broker, my job is to find value. As with every article, the trends I’ve discovered in college football translate well to the NFL and it is no different when a professional team is coming off a season with multiple net close wins or net close losses. I use a touchdown or […]
NFL Past Division Winners
In the inaugural Phil Steele’s Pro Football Preview, I made a forecast for each division and I am very pleased to announce that I correctly forecasted 7 of the 8! Mine was also the ONLY major magazine to pick the eventual Super Bowl Champion New Orleans Saints to win the NFC South. We followed that […]
2017 NFL Blog Schedule
While we are not producing a 2017 NFL Preview this year, we will be releasing the main pages from the Magazine periodically through the month of July. Here is the list of upcoming articles that would have been part of this year’s magazine. • Past Division Winners. • Close Wins/ Close Losses. • Finding Value […]
Stock Market Indicator
Metrics, Metrics, Metrics. Almost every system I come up with first looks at college football and then I check to see if the success translates to the NFL. This system is the exception as it made my NFL magazine first, under the title Slipping and Sliding. However, when I tried to plug this system in […]
2017 Experience Chart
For the last week or so I have been going thru the individual factors in my experience chart from the 2017 magazine. For a complete breakdown of each of the factors involved you can read those individual blogs. 2017 Career Starts Offensive Line – June 13th 2017 % of Yards returning – June 16th 2017 % of Tackles returning – June […]
Two Deep Class Breakdown
For more than 8 years I have published an “Experience Chart” in my National College Football Preview. The old version of this chart just took into account the overall experience from the 2 deep for each squad. Several years ago I revised the Experience Chart and created a New and Improved version. The updated chart […]
% of Tackles Returning
Today’s blog continues my in-depth look at my NCAA Experience Chart. For eight years I had listed an experience chart, which broke down the number of seniors, juniors, sophomores and freshmen each team had in the two deep and rated the teams experience level with a formula I devised. In 2009, I made the experience […]
