|Phil Steele Blog • October 22, 2015|
CollegeFootballGeek.com’s Daily Fantasy Value Plays of the Week: DraftKings, Week 8
By Todd DeVries & Kevin Mount, CollegeFootballGeek.com
DraftKings has released their Daily Fantasy college football salaries for the week, and the experts at CollegeFootballGeek.com have hunkered down and scoured all of the data to find the best Value Plays on the docket.
These Value Plays are comprised of players poised to out-produce their DraftKings salaries this week. These are the “diamonds in the rough” that your DFS competitors may overlook. They are the difference-makers you need in your lineup to win one of the big DFS contests!
For your convenience, we have broken the picks down by DraftKings contest game set. Best of luck this week!
(For more detailed Daily Fantasy analysis, picks, player news, player rankings, and stat breakdowns, check out CollegeFootballGeek.com. Learn how to SUBSCRIBE FOR FREE!)
VALUE PLAYS: SATURDAY EARLY SLATE
Perry Hills, Maryland QB ($5700) vs. Penn State:
Hills shocked DFS players two weeks ago with 170 yards rushing and two rushing touchdowns versus a tough Ohio State defense. While he may not hit those gaudy totals, he could provide some value with his feet this week against Penn State. He should also carry a low ownership percentage as DFS players may be scared off by the opponent and the player himself. Hills could provide some salary relief and allow DFS players to afford higher priced players at other positions.
Phillip Ely, Toledo QB ($6400) vs. UMASS:
Ely threw four touchdown passes last week against Eastern Michigan and could duplicate that effort this week versus UMASS. The Minutemen rank 103rd against the pass in 2015 and could be hard pressed to stop Ely and friends this week. The Rockets offense can probably name their score this week and Ely could easily exceed value. Look for this Rocket to blast off this week with solid yardage total and a few touchdown tosses.
Saquon Barkley, Penn State RB ($5600) vs. Maryland:
This impressive freshman returned from injury last week and ran all over a tough Ohio State defense to the tune of 194 yards. He received 26 carries to only four carries for Akeel Lynch, so it looks like he has taken that job away from Lynch. Look for this youngster to run all over a Maryland rush defense that ranks 101st in the country and could yield some big plays this week. Barkley could go north of 150 yards rushing this week and add a score or two against the Terrapins. He could crush value this week.
Jared Baker, Arizona RB ($5500) vs. Washington State:
Baker filled in for Nick Wilson last week against Colorado and went ballistic. He accounted for 247 total yards and three total scores and left many DFS players smiling. Baker could post equally impressive numbers this week if Wilson cannot answer the bell. The matchup is especially enticing with the Cougars rush defense ranked 110th in the nation this season. This Wildcat is a must start at this price if Wilson sits out this game. If Wilson is able to play, Baker still holds value and could be a decent option.
Dom Williams, Washington State WR ($5600) vs. Arizona:
Williams exploded for 158 yards and two scores last week versus Oregon State and could match those numbers this week against Arizona. He is the 1B role in the passing game that is averaging 399 yards per game and should continue to see tons of targets on a weekly basis. He has a very enticing matchup this week with a soft Arizona pass defense that ranks 92nd in the country. Look for plenty of receptions and yards out of Williams this week in a potentially high scoring affair with the Wildcats.
Alex Erickson, WR Wisconsin ($4600) vs. Illinois:
Erickson is the leading receiver for Wisconsin and is averaging eight catches for 99 yards over the past two games. He is targeted often and holds particular value on DK with the full point per reception scoring. Erickson is not flashy by any means, but he does produce and often carries a low ownership number in tournaments. Look for this Badger to easily exceed value this week and make a nice punt play at WR. He could go over the 100-yard mark and find his way into the end zone against Illinois.
Deon Cain, Clemson WR ($3400) vs. Miami:
This highly recruited true freshman has superstar written all over him and is starting to turn heads with his recent performances. He is averaging 95 yard receiving in the last two games and appears to be getting way more involved in the Clemson passing game. He has a solid matchup this week against a Miami defense that gives up its fair share of big plays. Cain appears to be a decent bet to reach value this week and allow DFS players to load up elsewhere.
Rodney Mills, UMASS TE ($3400) vs. Toledo:
There has been an interesting trend on DK this year in CFB involving the use of the TE position in lineups. Even though the TE position has been eliminated as a standalone position, many winning lineups have been using TE’s as value plays at the WR or flex position. Mills could fit the bill for that trend this week. He is averaging 16.30 DK points in the last two games and is targeted often in the pass heavy UMASS attack. Expect Mills to easily reach value this week and be an awesome punt play. Don’t overlook this TE this week.
VALUE PLAYS: SATURDAY LATE SLATE
Seth Collins, Oregon State QB ($6900) vs. Colorado:
Collins has rushed for over 100 yards three times this season and has five rushing touchdowns in the last four games. He could run wild against a Colorado defense that has given up tons of big plays this season. This Beaver could post a huge stat line this week and make for a sneaky GPP option. Look for Collins to have his way with the Buffaloes and be an excellent option for a #2 QB on Saturday night.
Brett Rypien, Boise State QB ($6500) vs. Wyoming:
Boise State got blitzed last week by Utah State and Rypien was one of the casualties, tossing three interceptions. He could bounce back in a huge way this week against Wyoming. The Cowboys defense is not good and could allow Rypien and his wide outs to get back on track this week. Look for this freshman to approach the 300-yard mark and add a couple of touchdown tosses on the blue turf. This Bronco could be a sneaky GPP option in the late slate.
Phillip Lindsay, Colorado RB ($4300) vs. Oregon State:
Lindsay has multiple touchdowns in two of the last four games and seems to have locked up the starting job. He received 23 carries last week against Arizona and could do some real damage this week against Oregon State with a similar workload. The Oregon State rush defense have been a sieve this year, ranking 103rd in the country. It would be no surprise to see this Buffalo run all over the Beavers this week. A 100-yard day with a score or two seems well within reach for Lindsay.
Derrius Guice, LSU RB ($3500) vs. Western Kentucky:
Guice has shown excellent ability in a limited role this year behind Lenny Fournette and could see an expanded role this week versus Western Kentucky. This game could get out of hand and the Tigers could turn to Guice to churn out the clock and get Fournette some much needed rest. The Hilltoppers defense should be no match for the powerful ground game of the Tigers and Guice could find the end zone once or twice. He appears to be a potentially solid punt play for Week Eight.
Kermit Whitfield, Florida State WR ($4600) vs. Georgia Tech:
Whitfield is averaging nine catches and 133 yards per game over the last two contests and could have another productive evening versus Georgia Tech. The Florida State passing game is starting to click under Everett Golson and Whitfield has developed into his top target. Look for this speedster to catch a bunch of short passes and turn them into long gainers against a potentially overmatched Yellow Jackets secondary. Kermit could be a nice under the radar play in Week Eight.
Braxton Miller, Ohio State WR ($4200) vs. Rutgers:
Don’t look now, but it appears that Miller is finally getting involved in the Ohio State offense. He has scored in consecutive games and is also receiving carries out of the backfield. He could put up nice numbers this week against a super soft Rutgers pass defense that ranks 125th in the country this year. Expect this Buckeye to churn out a couple of big plays this week and possibly cross the goal line for the third straight game.
Josh Reynolds, Texas A&M WR ($4200) vs. Ole Miss:
Reynolds started off the season slowly, but is averaging 17.95 DK points over the last four games. He is playing a bit of second fiddle to freshman phenom Christian Kirk, but still garners plenty of attention in the Aggies passing game. He will be lining up against a Rebels pass defense that just gave up 384 yards passing and three scores to Memphis last week. Look for Reynolds to easily reach value and be a solid punt play at the WR position.
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