|Phil Steele Blog • August 5, 2015|
Week One College Football Line Movements.
A few weeks back, I did a blog (June 29th) on the early Las Vegas lines for a majority of the marquee college football games in 2015. While it is interesting to see how those games are perceived, there are limits on the amount that a person can wager for those games.
Recently, however, the “official” lines have been released for all of the week one college football games by several major casinos, so I am posting them here for informational and entertainment purposes only. This is not a gambling site and any mention of the point spread exists purely to inform you who was favored and expected to win when the games were played, as well as to start thinking about the exciting matchups that lie ahead.
Please also note that these lines only include matchups between two FBS teams, so there are many more Week 1 games that are not listed below. Also below you can see the line movements between July 15th and today August 5th.
Official Week 1 College Football Line Movements
|Taken from 7/15/15||Taken from 8/5/15|
|Thursday, September 3||Thursday, September 3|
|South Carolina (-2.5) vs North Carolina (Charlotte)||South Carolina (-3) vs North Carolina (Charlotte)|
|Florida International (+17) at Central Florida||Florida International (+17) at Central Florida|
|Oklahoma State (-20.5) at Central Michigan||Oklahoma State (-22.5) at Central Michigan|
|Michigan (+4) at Utah||Michigan (+5.5) at Utah|
|TCU (-14.5) at Minnesota||TCU (-14) at Minnesota|
|Duke (-13) at Tulane||Duke (-9.5) at Tulane|
|Ohio (-7.5) at Idaho||Ohio (-9.5) at Idaho|
|UTSA (+31) at Arizona||UTSA (+31.5) at Arizona|
|WKU (+2) at Vanderbilt||WKU (+2) at Vanderbilt|
|Colorado (-8.5) at Hawaii||Colorado (-8) at Hawaii|
|Friday, September 4||Friday, September 4|
|Baylor (-33.5) at SMU||Baylor (-34) at SMU|
|Michigan State (-20) at Western Michigan||Michigan State (-19) at Western Michigan|
|Kent State (+16) at Illinois||Kent State (+15.5) at Illinois|
|Washington (+11) at Boise State||Washington (+10.5) at Boise State|
|Saturday, September 5||Saturday, September 5|
|Old Dominion (-3.5) at Eastern Michigan||Old Dominion (-6) at Eastern Michigan|
|New Mexico State (+37) at Florida||New Mexico State (+36) at Florida|
|Penn State (-7.5) at Temple||Penn State (-6.5) at Temple|
|Florida Atlantic (+10) at Tulsa||Florida Atlantic (+7) at Tulsa|
|Virginia (+17) at UCLA||Virginia (+17) at UCLA|
|Stanford (-11) at Northwestern||Stanford (-11.5) at Northwestern|
|Louisville (+10.5) vs Auburn (Atlanta)||Louisville (+10.5) vs Auburn (Atlanta)|
|Arizona State (+3) vs Texas A&M (Houston)||Arizona State (+2.5) vs Texas A&M (Houston)|
|BYU (+6) at Nebraska||BYU (+5) at Nebraska|
|Troy (+23.5) at North Carolina State||Troy (+24.5) at North Carolina State|
|UNLV (+21) at Northern Illinois||UNLV (+21) at Northern Illinois|
|Akron (+31) at Oklahoma||Akron (+30.5) at Oklahoma|
|Bowling Green (+20) at Tennessee (Nashville)||Bowling Green (+21) at Tennessee (Nashville)|
|ULM (+35) at Georgia||ULM (+35) at Georgia|
|ULL (+14) at Kentucky||ULL (+15) at Kentucky|
|UTEP (+33) at Arkansas||UTEP (+33) at Arkansas|
|Georgia Southern (+20) at West Virginia||Georgia Southern (+18.5) at West Virginia|
|Texas (+9) at Notre Dame||Texas (+10) at Notre Dame|
|Texas State (+34) at Florida State||Texas State (+29.5) at Florida State|
|Wisconsin (+10) vs Alabama (Arlington)||Wisconsin (+10.5) vs Alabama (Arlington)|
|Mississippi State (-23) at Southern Miss||Mississippi State (-23) at Southern Miss|
|Arkansas State (+29) at USC||Arkansas State (+28.5) at USC|
|Sunday, September 6||Sunday, September 6|
|Purdue (+7) at Marshall||Purdue (+7.5) at Marshall|
|Monday, September 7||Monday, September 7|
|Ohio State (-14.5) at Virginia Tech||Ohio State (-10.5) at Virginia Tech|
As you can see, 26 of the 38 games listed under 8/5/15 have a double digit point spread with only 8 games having a line under a touchdown. This is common for the first few weeks with many of the top programs playing lesser opponents during the non-conference portion of the season.
Ohio State, the defending BCS Champion, is currently installed as a 10.5 point favorite against Virginia Tech after opening as a 14.5 point favorite due to their opening game suspensions. Since 1999, the National Champion from the previous season is 16-0 with an average win of 44-14 in their season opener, so that line is actually a bit lower than usual. Of course, the Buckeyes are not facing a “conventional” opening game for a defending champion in that they are playing on the road at night on Labor Day against the team that handed them their only loss last year in Virginia Tech.Just a little over a month is left to Week 1!
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